See what the
market can't.

Behind every prediction market is a web of evidence — filings, transcripts, data releases, contradictions — that most analysts never connect. Dravoris connects it for you.

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Built for

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dravoris evidence decomposition — atomic claims from FOMC, BLS, CME with provenance scoring, contradiction detection, and linked market analysis

A market says 67%. But why?

To know, you'd need to read every transcript, track every filing, and map every link between markets. Nobody does that manually.

How it works

Ingest

Hundreds of live sources. Every claim extracted, every source tracked.

Decompose

Atomic facts, scored by provenance. Contradictions surfaced automatically.

Connect

Markets linked to their causal roots. When one fact changes, see which markets move and by how much.

Provenance scoring

Every claim.
Traced to its source.
Scored for reliability.

Each fact carries a provenance score, so you know exactly how much to trust it and where it came from.

Supporting

CME FedWatchFeb 14, 2026

Fed funds futures imply 38% probability of June cut, up from 22% after payrolls miss.

Weight: 0.85Relevance: 0.91Freshness: 0.97

Opposing

Senate Banking CommitteeFeb 5, 2026

Chair Powell: "Premature easing risks reigniting inflation expectations that have only recently stabilized."

Weight: 0.96Relevance: 0.98Freshness: 0.88

In practice

What this looks like

A Fed Governor signals openness to a June cut. Two days later, the Chair testifies there's "no hurry." The market moves. Dravoris shows you the split before the market reacts.

ContradictionGov. Waller backs a rate adjustment if labor keeps softening. Chair Powell stresses patience and inflation risk.

SourcesGov. Waller public remarks ↔ Chair Powell Senate Banking testimony

Connected marketsFed cut probability. CPI forecasts. Recession odds. Every market the contradiction touches, mapped automatically.

Causal Intelligence

Markets don't move in isolation. When EU tariff odds shift, Fed cut probabilities, recession forecasts, and CPI expectations all move with them. Dravoris maps these cascades so you see the full chain.